Business
BEIJING: Global investors flee China fearing that risks eclipse rewards
BEIJING: A growing list of risks is turning China into a potential quagmire for global investors.
The central question is what could happen in a country willing to go to great lengths to achieve its leader’s goals. President Xi Jinping’s friendship with Russian leader Vladimir Putin has made investors more distrustful of China, while a strongman narrative is gaining momentum as the Communist Party doggedly pursues a Covid-Zero strategy and unpredictable campaigns to regulate entire industries.
As a result, some international investors are finding an aggressive allocation to China increasingly unpalatable. Outflows from the country’s stocks, bonds and mutual funds accelerated after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, while Norway’s $1.3 trillion sovereign wealth fund has snubbed a Chinese sportswear giant due to concerns about human-rights abuses. US dollar private-equity funds that invest in China raised just $1.4 billion in the first quarter — the lowest figure since 2018 for the same period.

The scale and speed of sanctions imposed on Russia forced a rethink of Western attitudes to China, according to Simon Edelsten of U.K. investment firm Artemis Investment Management LLP. His team at the $37 billion money manager sold all its China investments last year following Beijing’s interventions in high-profile listings like Didi Global Inc. and Ant Group Co., saying such moves threatened shareholder rights. China’s more assertive rhetoric around Hong Kong and sovereignty claims in the South China Sea also made the investment team uneasy, Edelsten said.
“Politics and governance factors should now set a cautious tone, especially for long-term commitments” to China, said Edelsten, adding that European measures taken against Russia show that strong trade ties are no guarantee of diplomatic security.
“The Ukraine invasion raises these risks very sharply and our funds are likely to remain very lowly weighted in China for some years to come,” he added.

Brendan Ahern, chief investment officer at Krane Funds Advisors LLC, describes “indiscriminate and price-insensitive selling” of Chinese shares by international investors in the past year.
Beijing’s regulatory actions “felt like an attack on the most respected and widely foreign-held companies,” he said, while sanctions on Russia raised concern the same could happen to China. His firm — which manages China-focused exchange-traded funds — is replacing US-listed Chinese stocks with those trading in Hong Kong to reduce risk.
Making money in China’s public markets has become more difficult. The CSI 300 Index of stocks is down about 15% year-to-date and its risk-adjusted return — as measured by the Sharpe ratio — is among the lowest globally, at minus 2.1. That’s only slightly better than Sri Lanka’s Colombo All-Share Index. The Chinese index is trading near the lowest level since 2014 relative to MSCI Inc.’s global stock gauge.
For the first time since 2010, Chinese benchmark sovereign 10-year notes offer no carry over comparable US Treasuries. And returns in China’s high-yield dollar credit market were the worst in at least a decade last quarter.
Global funds have started to pull out, selling more than $7 billion worth of mainland-listed stocks via exchange links with Hong Kong in March. They also disposed of $14 billion in Chinese government debt over the past two months and trimmed their credit holdings. Betting against China was considered the fifth most-crowded trade in Bank of America Corp.’s most recent survey of investors.
“Markets are worried about China’s ties to Russia — it’s scaring investors and you can see that risk aversion playing out since the start of the invasion,” said Stephen Innes, managing partner at SPI Asset Management. “Everyone was selling China bonds so we’re glad we didn’t buy any.”
Still, divesting from China may not be a straightforward choice. The world’s second-largest economy possesses a $21 trillion bond market and equity bourses valued at $16.4 trillion onshore and in Hong Kong. Its assets offer diversification for investors, Amundi Singapore Ltd.’s head of investment Joevin Teo said last week, with multi-asset strategies struggling under the threat of inflation and tightening global financial conditions. Some have even called Chinese assets a haven.
“It’s one of the best diversification stories for global funds because of its idiosyncratic nature,” said Lin Jing Leong, senior emerging market Asia sovereign analyst at Columbia Threadneedle Investments, which manages about $754 billion. “Who owns the market, the cycle of China’s growth and inflationary pressures, the low volatility in its currency basket” all help to provide better risk-adjusted returns, she added.
Chinese authorities appear to be taking steps to appeal to global funds. Regulators last month promised to ensure policies are more transparent and predictable — key sticking points for investors who lost trillions of dollars in 2021 due to Beijing’s crackdown on tech and tutoring firms. China is also making compromises that may grant American regulators partial access to audits of US-listed Chinese companies.
While Wall Street giants such as JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. are rushing to take full ownership of their China ventures, some companies are divesting.
In March, Germany’s Fraport AG sold its stake in Xi’an Airport to a local buyer, ending a 14-year stint in China. The airport operator said it decided to exit the Chinese market after struggling to expand its business. Fraport also owns a share of St. Petersburg airport in Russia, which it’s currently unable to sell.
Others are preparing for China’s decoupling from the West. Self-driving technology startup TuSimple Inc. is considering spinning its China operations off into a separate entity, following American authorities’ concerns over Beijing’s access to its data. Oil giant Cnooc Ltd. may exit operations in the U.K., Canada and the US due to concerns the assets could be subject to sanctions, Reuters reported last week.
Investment professionals at one American private equity fund in Hong Kong aren’t pursuing opportunities in China as aggressively as before even though prices are far lower, according to a person who asked not to be named discussing internal strategies. Concerns include the difficulty of exiting investments and problems that may arise from a hardening of positions such as U.S. investment bans or a consumer boycott of made-in-China products.
As risks increase and rewards diminish, adding exposure to China may no longer be a no-brainer for global investors. In a speech last week, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen called Beijing to account for its ever-closer relationship with Moscow.
“The world’s attitude towards China and its willingness to embrace further economic integration may well be affected by China’s reaction to our call for resolute action on Russia,” she said.
Business
NEW YORK: H1B Visa “Thing Of Past”: Union Minister Piyush Goyal After US Visit
NEW YORK: Union Minister of Commerce and Industry, Piyush Goyal, declared that the H1B visa issue is now “a thing of the past” during a meeting at Vanijya Bhavan, New Delhi.
He emphasized that the topic would no longer be a point of discussion in international dialogues, marking a shift in focus towards other areas of economic and strategic partnerships.
Minister Goyal’s recent visit to the United States included a two-day stay in New York, where he met with CEOs of major companies to discuss reforms initiated by the Modi government aimed at boosting foreign investments in India, particularly in the pharmaceutical and diamond sectors.
Surat, a prominent hub for the diamond industry, was highlighted as a key region for such investments. Goyal met around thirty business leaders who have already established ventures in India, signalling continued interest in expanding business operations in the country.
Following his engagements in New York, the Minister travelled to Washington, where he had a luncheon meeting with 17 CEOs from the CEO forum, including Tata Sons’ top executive.
The discussions primarily centred on restructuring the forum, as the terms of several members are set to expire in December. Various Memorandums of Understanding (MoUs) were also signed during the visit, underscoring the commitment to deepening business ties.
The visit also involved meetings with Small and Medium-sized Enterprises (SMEs), think tanks, educators, and the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). Goyal described this visit as different from previous trips, noting that there were no “negative agendas” on the table, reflecting a more positive outlook towards Indo-US relations.
Discussions extended beyond traditional sectors, covering potential partnerships in critical areas such as clean energy development, technology transfer, digital telecommunications, and defence.
Talks on biosciences have been ongoing, though Goyal noted that progress on biofuels was limited due to the upcoming US elections.
There were also conversations about setting a stable exchange rate between the Indian rupee and the US dollar, which could benefit bilateral trade.
Tourism and the development of the digital economy were also focal points during his meetings. Goyal’s engagements at the CEO forum and with the CA forum aimed to showcase India’s evolving business landscape and ongoing economic reforms, positioning the country as an attractive destination for global investment.
Business
LONDON: Focus On UK Visas For Indians As Tory Leadership Contest Enters Last Leg
LONDON: The two frontrunners in the race to replace Rishi Sunak as Conservative Party leader and take his place in the House of Commons as Leader of the Opposition have thrown the spotlight on cutting immigration into the UK, with visas for Indians being singled out in heated debates.
Against the backdrop of the launch of the Conservative Party conference in Birmingham on Sunday, former immigration minister Robert Jenrick singled out India as one of the countries that should be subjected to tough visa restrictions across all categories unless it takes back its nationals who enter Britain illegally.
His closest contender, shadow housing secretary Kemi Badenoch, has also zeroed in on the same issue and condemned new migrants bringing their disputes from India to cause unrest on the streets of the country.
“It is quite clear that there are many people who have recently come to this country who have brought views from their countries of origin that have no place here,” Badenoch told the BBC.
“I saw as equalities minister people bringing cultural disputes from India to the streets of Leicester… we need to make sure that when people come to this country, they leave their previous differences behind. This is not a controversial thing to say,” she said.
Nigerian-heritage Badenoch, considered among the favourites to win the ongoing Tory leadership election, was apparently referencing the clashes that broke out in Leicester in September 2022 in the wake of an India-Pakistan Asia Cup cricket match.
Meanwhile, her former ministerial colleague Robert Jenrick who has notched up an early lead in the contest told ‘The Daily Telegraph’ earlier this week that while India benefited from 250,000 visas in the past year, there were as many as 100,000 Indian nationals estimated to be illegally residing in the UK.
He lamented that deportations or removals to India remain stuck in the hundreds despite an India-UK Migration and Mobility Partnership which is designed to cover such returns of illegal migrants.
“The government must stop other countries exploiting our generosity by imposing severe visa restrictions and restricting foreign aid to countries that do not take back their nationals here illegally,” said Jenrick.
Over the four-day Tory conference starting on Sunday, Jenrick and Badenoch will go head-to-head with two other party colleagues – former Cabinet ministers James Cleverly and Tom Tugendhat – as they make their leadership pitches before MPs vote in the next round. This time the field will be whittled down to the final two candidates who will then fight it out for the online ballot of the wider Conservative Party membership, many of whom will be making up their minds during the party conference. The new Conservative Party chief and Opposition Leader is then scheduled to be declared on November 2 after the voting closes.
The election follows the resignation of Sunak as Tory leader in the wake of the party’s bruising general election defeat in July under his leadership. The British Indian politician, who was re-elected member of Parliament from Richmond and Northallerton in northern England, has meanwhile been serving as interim leader until his successor is elected.
Business
ATHENS: Indian Investors Rush To Buy Houses In Greece Under Golden Visa Scheme
ATHENS: Greece has witnessed a remarkable 37 per cent surge in property purchases by Indian investors between July and August. This flurry of activity is driven by Indian buyers eager to secure permanent residency under Greece’s Golden Visa Programme before significant regulatory changes took effect on September 1.
Launched in 2013, Greece’s Golden Visa programme offers residency permits in exchange for property investments, making it an attractive option for non-EU citizens. Its initial €250,000 (Rs 2.2 crore) threshold was one of Europe’s lowest, drawing significant investment and boosting Greece’s real estate market.
However, the surge in demand pushed up property prices, particularly in high-demand areas like Athens, Thessaloniki, Mykonos and Santorini. To address this, the Greek government raised the investment threshold to €800,000 (approx Rs 7 crore) for properties in these regions, effective September 1 2024.
Sanjay Sachdev, Global Marketing Director of Leptos Estates, noted an “unprecedented rush” of Indian homebuyers in recent months. “Many investors purchased under-construction projects with handover periods of six-twelve months,” said Sanjay Sachdev, as per MoneyControl.
Many invested in properties under construction, with completion timelines of six to twelve months. Leptos Estates reported selling out its available residential stock in Greece due to this surge.
Effective September 2024, the revised Golden Visa programme seeks to:
– Temper rapid price increases
– Promote equitable development
– Direct investment towards less saturated areas
The appeal of Greece’s Golden Visa Programme for Indian investors
– Greece offers attractive rental yields of 3-5 per cent annually, making property investments financially rewarding.
– Property values in Greece have been increasing at an impressive rate of 10 per cent year-on-year, with significant growth following the pandemic.
– Investors gain access to high-quality healthcare, education, and the opportunity to establish businesses within the EU.
Before the rule changes, Indian investors gravitated towards popular Greek islands like Paros, Crete, and Santorini for property purchases.
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